Philippine 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast October 18,2009

Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 18 October 2009
Valid beginning: 5:00 a.m. today until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow

Synopsis:

At 2:00 am today, Typhoon "RAMIL" (LUPIT) {0920} was located based on satellite and surface data at 970 kms East of Casiguran, Aurora (16.8°N 132.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 160 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 195 kph. It is forecast to move Northwest slowly.

Forecast:

Bicol Region, Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

Light to moderate winds blowing from the Northwest to West will prevail over Luzon and coming from the Southwest to West over the rest of the country. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.

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PAG-ASA-DOST

Ramil intensifies into typhoon, early evacuation urged

10/17/2009 | 09:15 AM

After entering Philippine territory, tropical cyclone "Ramil" (international code name “Lupit") intensified into a typhoon, but may not directly affect the country until Sunday.

But this early, the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) warned residents in Northern and Central Luzon to voluntarily evacuate early.

“Yun na nga, uulit-ulitin na naman namin (sasabihan) ang naninirahan
sa paanan ng bundok, mag-evacuate [nang maaga] (We have to repeat our
advise to those living near mountain slopes to evacuate early)," Pagasa head Prisco Nilo said in an interview on dzRH radio.
'Ramil' Watch
At 2:00 a.m. Saturday, typhoon "Ramil" was located based on satellite and surface data at 850 kms East of Virac, Catanduanes (14.6°N 133.2°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph and gustiness of up to 150 kph. It is moving West Northwest at 20 kph.


“Imposibleng gawin ng pamahalaan na isa-isahin ang paglilikas. Ang kababayan doon sa areas na delikado sila mismo lumikas para maiwasan ang pagkaroon ng pagkasawi sa buhay (It will be impossible for government to individually evacuate people in so short a time. If you live near a high-risk area, please evacuate to prevent loss of life)," he added.

He said it is still too early to say where “Ramil" will head, saying it may be northern Luzon or Central Luzon. A third possibility is that the typhoon will head towards Taiwan.

Either way, he said “Ramil" will bring much rain to the areas it will pass. If it passes central Luzon, it may bring rains to Metro Manila, he added.

“Ang areas na dadaanan ng bagyo dadanas ng malakas na ulan. Kung tatama sa Central Luzon, aabutin tayo sa Metro Manila ng malakas na ulan (Areas where ‘Ramil’ will pass will experience heavy rains. So if it goes to Central Luzon, Metro Manila can expect much rain)," he
said.

For its part, the Philippine Coast Guard said it is on alert in the areas expected to be affected.

Coast Guard commandant Admiral Wilfredo Tamayo said going on alert is “automatic" for them, especially in the wake of recent killer tropical cyclones “Ondoy" (Ketsana) and “Pepeng" (Parma).

“Kahit LPA pa lang naghahanda ang ating tauhan sa Coast Guard (Even when it was still a low-pressure area we are already preparing)," Tamayo said in an interview on dzBB radio.

He said the Coast Guard will be on heightened alert in areas under Signal No. 1, and full alert in areas under Signal No. 2.

As of 2 a.m. Saturday, Pagasa said “Ramil" was estimated at 850 kms east of Virac, Catanduanes with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph and gustiness of up to 150 kph and is moving west-northwest at 20 kph.

In its 5 a.m. bulletin Saturday, Pagasa said “Ramil" continues to move towards northern and central Luzon.

“Bicol Region and the Eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms," it said.

But in its 11 p.m. advisory Friday that “Ramil" is not due to directly affect any part of the country “within the next 36 hours."

Pagasa’s 11 p.m. advisory forecast it to be 580 kms east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes Saturday evening, and 420 kms northeast of Virac, Catanduanes Sunday evening.

By Monday evening it forecast “Ramil" to be 380 kms east of Casiguran, Aurora.

Meanwhile, Pagasa said light to moderate winds blowing from the southwest and southeast will prevail over Luzon and coming from the southwest and west over the rest of the country.

Coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
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GMANews.TV

Philippine 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast October 16,2009

Issued at: 5:00 p.m., 16 October 2009
Valid beginning: 5:00 p.m. today until 5:00 p.m. tomorrow


Synopsis:

At 2:00 p.m. today, Tropical Storm (LUPIT) {0920} was located at 1,130 kms East of Bicol Region (14.0°N 136.0°E) with maximum sustained winds of 95 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 120 kph. It is moving West Northwest at 32 kph. Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) affecting Luzon.

Forecast:

Luzon will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

Light to moderate winds coming from the Southwest to Southeast will prevail over Luzon and coming from the Southwest and West over the rest of the country. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.

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PAG-ASA/DOST

Philippine 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast October 4,2009

Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 04 October 2009
Valid beginnning: 5:00 a.m. today until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow


Synopsis:

At 4:00 am today, Typhoon "PEPENG" {PARMA} was located based on satellite and surface data at 70 kms North of Laoag City (18.9°N 120.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph and gustiness of up to 150 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 9 kph.

Forecast:

Extreme Northern Luzon and the provinces of Ilocos Sur and Abra will experience stormy weather while the rest of Northern Luzon will have rains and gusty winds with moderate to rough seas. The rest of Luzon will be cloudy with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest will prevail over the rest of the country with moderate to rough seas.

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PAGASA-DOST

Philippine 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast October 3,2009

Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 03 October 2009
Valid beginning: 5:00 a.m. today until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow


Synopsis:

At 4:00 a.m., today, Typhoon "PEPENG" was located based on radar, satellite and surface data at 260 kms Southeast of Aparri, Cagayan (16.6°N 123.6°E) with maximum sustained winds of 175 kph and gustiness of up to 210 kph. It is forecast to move Northwest at 17 kph.

Forecast:

Northern Luzon will experience stormy weather while Bicol region and the Eastern section of Central Luzon will have rains and gusty winds with moderate to rough seas. The rest of Luzon will have occasional rains while Visayas and Mindanao will be mostly cloudy with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northwest and Southwest will prevail over the rest of Luzon and coming from the Southwest over the rest of the country. The coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough.

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PAGASA-DOST

Typhoon weakens slightly as Philippines braces

By ROHAN SULLIVAN, Associated Press Writer

MANILA, Philippines – Filipinos braced Saturday for their second typhoon in eight days, though the storm weakened just hours before it was due to hit and the threat of another disaster in the flood-soaked capital eased.

Better news for the Philippines was bad news for Taiwan, which issued a storm warning and began evacuating villages in the south as Typhoon Parma headed more sharply north toward the island.

Parma was dropping heavy rain across the Philippines' main island of Luzon on Saturday including many areas still recovering from a Sept. 26 storm that inundated large parts of Manila and killed almost 300 people.

But the storm was pushed farther north overnight Friday, and Manila was no longer at risk of a new deluge, said chief government forecaster Nathaniel Cruz. The storm's sustained winds also eased slightly, to 108 mph (175 kph), down from 121 mph (195 kph) on Friday.

"It is good news, especially for those whose houses are still under water," Cruz said at a briefing Saturday morning. "But 175 (kph winds) can still uproot trees and destroy houses and blown down roofs."

Parma was due to strike the Philippines' northeastern tip on Saturday night, instead of hitting north-central Luzon on Saturday afternoon, as earlier forecast.

The danger was easing in provinces south of the capital. In Albay province, governor Joey Salceda said he had ordered more than 76,000 people who had been evacuated from their homes in the past few days to be sent home.

Tens of thousands of others were still huddled in relief shelters or with friends after President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo ordered people in flood- and landslide-prone areas in six provinces to be evacuated.

A nationwide "state of calamity" ordered by Arroyo was still in place, designed to let authorities respond quickly if another disaster occurs.

Typhoon Ketsana on Sept. 26 caused the worst flooding in 40 years across the northern Philippines, damaging the homes of more than 2 million people. The Philippines National Disaster Coordinating Council on Saturday lowered the death toll from the Ketsana storm by five to 288.

Ketsana went on to hit other Southeast Asian countries, killing 99 in Vietnam, 14 in Cambodia and 16 in Laos.

It was part of more than a week of destruction in the Asia-Pacific region that has claimed more than 1,500 lives so far: an earthquake Wednesday in Indonesia; a tsunami Tuesday in the Samoan islands; and Typhoon Ketsana across Southeast Asia.

Many places in Manila are still chest-deep in water, or covered in thick mud and garbage.

In Quezon City, residents turned from cleaning up after Ketsana to trying to secure their belongings from the risk of more flooding.

"We do not know what to do or where we can go," said resident Bebang De Los Santos. "We don't have a way out and this is the only place that is safe, but we don't have any shelter."

Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau issued a storm warning for Parma on Saturday. This prompted officials to start evacuating villages in the southern county of Kaohsiung, where a typhoon in August triggered flash flooding that killed about 700, said local official Lin Chun-chieh.

One danger in Manila was posed by Lake Laguna, which rose more than 3.3 feet (one meter) as Ketsana passed and was in danger of spilling over into districts housing some 100,000 people if there is much more rain, said Ed Manda, general manager of the Laguna Lake Development Authority.

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Associated Press writers Oliver Teves in Manila and Debby Wu in Taipei, Taiwan, contributed to this report.

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Philippine 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast October 1,2009

Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 01 October 2009
Valid beginning: 5:00 a.m. today until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow




Synopsis:

At 4:00 a.m. today, Typhoon "PEPENG" {PARMA} was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 650 kms East of Borongan, Eastern Samar (11.5°N, 132.1°E) with maximum sustained winds of 150 kph and gustiness of up to 185 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 24 kph.

Forecast:

The eastern section of the country will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Bicol region which may trigger flashfloods and landslides. The rest of Visayas and Mindanao will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast to northwest will prevail over Eastern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao and coming from the southwest and south over the rest of the country. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be moderate to rough.

Philippine 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast

Issued at: 5:00 a.m., 30 September 2009
Valid beginning: 5:00 a.m. today until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow

Synopsis:
At 2:00 a.m. today, Tropical Storm {PARMA}(0917) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 1,110 kms East of Mindanao (8.0°N, 137.3°E) with maximum sustained winds of 75 kph and gustiness of up to 90 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 19 kph.
Forecast:
Extreme Northern Luzon, Eastern Visayas and Eastern Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest to south will prevail over the western section of Luzon with moderate to rough seas. Moderate winds blowing from the south to southeast will prevail over the rest of Luzon and coming from the south to southwest over the rest of the country with moderate seas.

PAGASA-DOST
Government of the Philippines